Increasing Market Volatility

Currency
The British Pound saw increased volatility during yesterday’s trading session, following the release of UK employment data. Unemployment unexpectedly rose from 4.3% to 4.4%, weakening the Pound. However, GBP received some support from higher-than-expected wage growth, which increased from 5.2% to 5.6%. Despite the mixed data, the British Pound remained under pressure against the U.S. Dollar, with market reactions to President Trump’s early actions adding uncertainty.

 

The Euro declined against most currencies yesterday, following Germany’s Zew economic sentiment index, which showed a significant drop in economic morale. The index fell from 15.7 to 10.3, increasing speculation of a potential European Central Bank interest rate cut. Ultimately, this contributed to the weakening of the Euro, with further movements likely influenced by an upcoming speech from ECB President Christine Lagarde.

 

The U.S. Dollar initially lost ground after President Trump delayed announcing trade tariffs, but regained strength following warnings of potential 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Market volatility is expected to remain high, with speculation that the Dollar could strengthen. However, concerns about Trump’s currency manipulation stance and potential tariffs on China create uncertainty, adding further volatility to the Dollar’s outlook.